Saturday, March 21, 2015

Romney voters smarter than Obama voters

Albeit modestly so.

The 2014 GSS data are out. Converting wordsum results to IQ scores with an average wordsum of 6.11 and a standard deviation of 1.83 wordsum points, the mean IQ of 2012 presidential election voters by who they voted for (n = 988):

Voted forIQ
3rd party105.3

SWPLs can take some pride in how things look if only white voters are considered:

Voted forIQ
3rd party106.0

Implicit pride, of course. Pointing out that NAMs depress the average IQ scores of Democrats is only something the wrong kind of white people would ever do. SWPLs are too intelligent to do anything as crass and uncouth as that!

GSS variables used: RACECEN1(1), PRES12(1-3), WORDSUM, BORN(1)

Compelling suffrage

Obama is correct when he asserts that mandatory voting would be "transformative". The intellectually impotent mainstream right has no answer for why, in a country where democracy is venerated as the unquestioned (and unquestionable) apogee of political systems, anything other than universal suffrage should be the aspiration. March of progress, being on the right--er, correct!--side of history, etc.

As someone who is emphatically inegalitarian, it seems to me that electoral influence should in some way be associated with financial contribution to the apparatus of the state. Say, one vote for every digit of federal income taxes paid, starting with the third in the calendar year prior to the vote in question and net tax eaters being ineligible to vote at all. That is, someone who pays $200 in taxes gets one vote; $2000 gets two votes; $20,000 three votes, and so forth, with a maximum of say five or so votes.

I see no a priori reason why someone who contributes nothing to the treasury should have a part in determining how said treasury resources are spent, and certainly not a part on par with those who do contribute. If any company, organization, or even family (want your kids to do the family budgeting?) operated in that way, we'd be right to predict fiscal catastrophe to likely follow as a consequence. And so here we are.

Obama's party has obvious political interests in getting electoral activity from marginalized populations that currently can't (high schoolers, inmates, immigrants) or won't ('low information' citizens) vote, but bringing those segments of the population to the ballot box will just accentuate the problems the government faces. There is no conceivable way that we ever enjoy a stable currency or a balanced federal budget given the current system.

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Ferguson's forever teachable moments

The only thing that would make the ongoing fiasco in Ferguson more instructive as a series of ‘teachable moments’ is if the city happened to have the name Springfield(, USA). It's a sordid microcosm of the entire country.

Ferguson used to be a functional, middle class American suburb. As its demographics changed, fueled by the State's economic sabotage against it in the form of housing vouchers, its founding stock began moving out. With them went the values and behaviors necessary to maintain said functional, middle class suburban life. Blight crept in and dysfunction crept up.

Last August, a rather routine instance of Blacks Behaving Badly escalated. Darren Wilson, the quintessential archetype of dutiful, civic-minded traditionalist America responds exactly as he is supposed to respond. A perpetually aggrieved mob, its opportunistic hangers-on, and its self-appointed race-hustling leaders bray for his blood. In this particular telling, Pontius Pilate, played by Robert McCulloch, doesn't actually sate their blood lust because the tale of Michael Brown's putative victimhood is so thoroughly and entirely a calumny, from start to finish, that even Ingsoc couldn’t give it a veneer of truth.

Countless media personalities--from the harpies on CNN to the double-digit IQ gladiators of the St. Louis Rams--perpetuated the big lie. Every one of these ignorant haters is engaged in blood libel against an innocent man, and by extension, against Core America, as the former light of the world disappears into the historical gloam. Any incorrigible minorities who refuse to get on board with this nonsense are slandered alongside white Americans who do the same as race traitors, Uncle Toms who prosper from the exploitation of their coethnics.

In retribution, the collective resources of the Establishment are marshaled against Ferguson. No matter how it’s sliced, there is simply no standard under which Wilson can be found to have acted improperly, but that isn't enough to spare his city. 'Disparate impact'--an unavoidable consequence of the disparities in behaviors between members of different populations--is a millstone that has been thrown around Ferguson's collective neck. And a precedent is being set that will allow the federal government to throw millstones around the necks of any municipalities in the country the Establishment has a problem with in the future.

Ferguson is no different than any other city in the US in this regard. To the contrary, an extensive review of police records indicates that Ferguson's black-white arrest rate disparity puts it at 1,582nd out of 3,538 municipalities across the US, or the 45th percentile and thus almost perfectly representative of the national average. That, of course, is exactly the point. See, all of middle class white America is being indicted here for the sin of being unable to magically transform black and brown minorities into middle class white Americans.

This racially-motivated Inquisition isn’t without consequences--fatal consequences. The blood of Zemir Begic is on Eric Holder’s hands and as the assassination attempt of a couple of Ferguson cops demonstrated earlier this week, he’ll be culpable for a lot more blood that will spill in the future. The few functioning remnants of the city will now melt away in the face of the federal government’s relentless persecution. When the exodus is finished, the transformation of Ferguson into another East St. Louis will be complete.

Barack Obama likes to talk about how the thugs whose sinews met the unforgiving blade of justice could have been him in the past or his son in the present. If that doesn’t push the bile to the tip of your tongue, I don’t know what will. Does anyone, anywhere really believe that the privilege poor white kids from broken homes in rural West Virginia allegedly benefit from gives them a greater leg up in life than that set of oppressed colored kids with names like, oh, I don’t know, Sasha and Malia, could ever hope to enjoy?

The historical US is being picked apart from every side. The ranks of the takers keep growing, as does their resentment towards the dying beast they’re plundering. And, correspondingly, the ranks of the makers diminish. With apologies to Nietzche, the US is dead, and the ‘American people’ have killed it, both by acts of commission and, more crucially, by acts of omission. It’s time to chop the moribund old oak tree apart and hope that some saprolings in the soil below grow into something fruitful in the future. Here’s to planting the seed of secession in the minds of as many people as I am able to.

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Correlation between NAEP and ACT/SAT scores

Steve Sailer wants a measure of average college admissions scores by state, similar to what NAEP provides but with the benefit of the test takers having some extrinsic motivation to perform well. The existing duopoly in the testing market currently precludes easy apples-to-apples comparisons from being made across states. Once achieved, standardized college admissions scores may provide better IQ estimates than NAEP tests do.

Parenthetically, though, a hypothetical formula like the one Steve is after would have to be careful not to artificially boost the apparent average intelligence of states with wider IQ distributions at the expense of states with more cognitive parity--ie, California's college admissions test takers look better vis-a-vis North Dakota's college admissions test takers than California's entire 8th grade student body does vis-a-vis North Dakota's entire 8th grade student body because diversity = disparity.

My guess is that a carefully designed synthesized measure won't deviate much from what NAEP reveals. Using a slapdash index calculated by taking a state's ACT composite average, multiplying it by 71.333 (to nominally scale it to the SAT mean), multiplying that by a state's ACT participation rate divided by the sum of its ACT and SAT participation rates and then adding that to a state's SAT composite average multiplied by its SAT participation rate divided by the sum of its ACT and SAT participation rates, we get a correlation of .64 (p-value = 0.00000004) with NAEP 8th grade math and reading assessment scores. Clean the formula up and address potential confounding factors--there are several states, for example, where the ACT is compulsory for high school juniors--and the correlation is virtually certain to become even stronger.

Saturday, March 07, 2015

The grain dole

IQ estimates converted from 8th grade 2013 NAEP math and reading assessments by eligibility for the national school lunch program, a federally assisted meal program that provides "low-cost or free lunches to school children" from low-income households follow. The scores for both tests are on a 500 point scale, with a standard deviation of 37 on the math assessment and 34 on the reading assessment. In the subsequent table, these are converted into IQ estimates with a mean of 98--corresponding to the national average NAEP scores of 283.62 for math and 266.02 for reading--and a standard deviation of 15. The math and reading scores are weighted equally:


More Cathedral trolling here (or rather more bait for the purpose). If we apply the same logic here that gets applied by educational romantics about how giving kids more access to and expecting them to spend more time acquiring education will make them as smart as kids from leafy suburbs, the solution for Closing the Gap* becomes obvious--take away the poor urchins' free lunches! Free food stigmatizes the children who receive it. Give a kid a lunch and he will be hand-to-mouth for his whole life, but force his family to provide provisions on their own and he will eat well forever!

* The social class gap, that is, which no one really cares about anymore. The privilege poor white kids from broken homes in rural West Virginia enjoy gives them a far greater leg up in life than oppressed coloreds with names like Malia and Sasha could ever hope for--that's the nation's primary disgrace!